Category Archives: Money & Investment

Saudi Arabia king accused of misjudged bribery in attempt to avoid unrest

Jack Shenker

guardian.co.uk.

Leading intellectuals in Saudi Arabia have warned that grand financial gestures are no substitute for meaningful political reform, after King Abdullah unveiled a $36bn (£22bn) social welfare package in advance of planned anti-government protests next month.

In a statement released on Thursday, a group of Saudi scholars called on the royal family to learn from recent uprisings in the Gulf and North Africa and to start listening to the voices of the kingdom’s disenfranchised young people, some of whom are planning a “day of rage” on 11 March. Several Islamic thinkers, as well as a female academic and a poet, are among those adding their names to the declaration.

“The Saudi regime is learning all the wrong lessons from Egypt and Tunisia,” said Shadi Hamid, director of research at the Brookings Doha Centre. “The unrest in the region is not fundamentally economic, it’s fundamentally about politics. Economics plays a role but what the events of the past few months have shown us is that Arabs are looking for freedom, dignity and democracy – and if the Saudi leadership can’t see that, then they’re in trouble.”

Saudi Arabia’s 86-year-old monarch returned home this week from three months in hospital abroad, and immediately announced a vast package of welfare measures including new education and housing subsidies, the creation of 1,200 jobs and a 15% pay rise for all government employees.

But analysts believe the king – who promised far-reaching political reform when he ascended to the throne in 2005, only to make little effort in tackling the political status quo – has misjudged the grievances of his population.

Read more>>>

Related story:
A king’s ransom for peace
How Long Will the U.S. and Europe Keep Repeating the Same Mistakes in the Middle East?
Arab Autocracies and US Inflation
Saudi Arabia faces succession battle amid regional turmoil

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The result of a casual whistle

"Good fences make good neighbors." - Robert Frost

Francis Anthony Govia

The Muffin Post

When God whistles, the trees shake, and fences fall down.

A developer, a friend of mine in New York City, has much to fear when God whistles. The last time God engaged in that casual pursuit the man’s company received a $40,000 fine from the city.

God has a way of confounding the good, the bad, and the innocent.

Over time I have come to realize that even in a city so pro-Jew as New York that an Israeli complains just as much as the ordinary resident; which leads me back to the original story.

One day God whistled. The fence around the property that belonged to the Israeli developer fell down. The Israeli was in a bitter fight with an “envious” neighbor. The neighbor called the city. An inspector came to survey the worksite and wrote up a violation for the broken fence.

The Israeli paid $100 to get the fence repaired, but the city made sure that his good act received a second violation.

Sometime before God whistled, but during the period that the neighbor became envious of the acquisition of the lot by his competitor, the Israeli had received permission from the city to convert the site into four distinct family dwellings. Therefore, when the fence broke in one corner of the lot, the city cited the developer for two violations times four.

The first violation was due to the Act of God. The second violation was engendered when the developer repaired the broken fence, whose action was subject to a stop work order that intervened.

Now each violation of this kind carries a minimum fine of $5000. So when God whistles in NYC, the developer opens his wallet.

Related story:
Stop a train

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Network of tribal loyalties in Libya that will determine Gaddafi’s fate

Abdulsattar Hatitah

asharq alawsat

Libyan tribes played an important role in the country’s fight against Ottoman, and later Italian, colonialism, with many Libyan tribal members sacrificing their lives in this war. It is believed that there are currently around 140 different tribes and clans in Libya, many of which have influences and members outside of the country, from Tunisia to Egypt to Chad. However Dr. Faraj Abdulaziz Najam, a Libyan specialist in Social Sciences and History, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Libyan tribes and clans that have genuine and demonstrable influence on the country number no more than 30 [tribes and family clans].

In a country that has lived under the brutal dictatorship of one man for more than forty years, namely Colonel Muammar Gaddafi –of the Gaddafi tribe – the majority of Libyans depend on their tribal connection in order to obtain their rights, and for protection, and even in order to find a job, particularly in the state apparatus. In a study conducted by Dr. Amal al-Obeidi at the University of Garyounis in Benghazi, it was revealed that the two largest and most influential Arab tribes in Libya originated from the Arab Peninsula, and these are the Beni Salim tribe that settled in Cyrenaica, the eastern coastal region of Libya, and the Beni Hilal that settled in western Libya around Tripoli. However other Libyan researchers and expert also revealed that around 15 percent of the Libyan population have no tribal affiliation whatsoever, being descendents of the Berber, Turkish, and other communities.

The degree of political allegiance to the ruling regime in Tripoli varies from one tribe to the next, particularly over the forty years that Gaddafi has been in power. The tribe which has the strongest, and longest, ties to the Gaddafi region is the Magariha tribe, who which has yet to announce their position on the bloody demonstrations that have been taking place across the country for the past week. Former Libyan Prime Minister Abdessalam Jalloud, widely regarded as Gaddafi’s right-hand man for much of his reign, is a member of the Magariha tribe. Gaddafi’s own tribe, the Gaddafi tribe, had historically not been an important tribe in Libya prior to Colonel Gaddafi’s ascent to power, and the Gaddafi tribe was not known for playing a major role in Libya’s right against colonialism over the last 200 years.

The leadership of the Magariha tribe acknowledges a debt of gratitude to Gaddafi and his regime for securing the return of one of the tribe’s members, Abdel Baset al-Megrahi, from prison in Britain after he was convicted of being behind the Lockerbie bombing. However sources also told Asharq Al-Awsat that this has not prevented a number of youths of the Magariha tribe from participating – with members from other tribes – in the demonstrations and protests against Gaddafi’s rule, especially in cities in eastern and southern Libya.

Experts say that the Magariha tribe is in the best position to carry out a coup against the Libyan leader, as many members of this tribe are in sensitive and senior positions of the Libyan government and security services. Whilst the Zawiya tribe is also in a strong position, and has threatened to stop the flow of oil into western Libya unless the authorities stop their deadly crackdown against the Libyan protestors.

Tribal influence in Libya is extremely important, particularly since the 1970s, with tribal affiliation being important with regards to obtaining employment in Libya’s General People’s Committees, as well as in the country’s security apparatus.

Read more>>>

Related story:
Libya: civil war breaks out as Gaddafi mounts rearguard fight
Overthrow of Libya’s regime won’t look like Egypt or Tunisia
Libya’s Oil Production Falls Off A Cliff?
Khamis Ghaddafi: The agent of fear
Libya: Who is propping up Gaddafi?
Cockroach Rule

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US economics is one big Ponzi scheme

Wall Street traders represent the elite of the global financial world, but after the collapse of the economy those behind the world's depression still seem to be doing just fine. Photo: GALLO/GETTY

Danny Schechter

Al Jazeera

While Bernie Madoff languishes in jail, bankers continue to profit as the poor lose their homes and hope.

Thank you, Bernie, for breaking your silence – even if you are still clinging to that cover-up mode you adopted since you took the entirety of the blame for your crimes.

What is clear is that ripping off the rich is punished far more severely than ripping off the poor. The lengthy sentence you were given spared countless other greedsters and goniffs from facing the music – what music there is.

In an interview – with a reporter from The New York Times who is writing a book to cash in on a man who has already cashed out – we learn, in the vaguest terms, that Mr M believes the banks he did his crooked business with “should have known” his figures did not figure. Keeping with the deceit that has served him well over the years, he names no names.

That said, how right he may be. There were many who should have known and done something about it. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and other regulators for one. Perhaps The New York Times for another. Remember, it was Madoff’s confession to his sons that started him on his way to his new 12′ x 12′ home from home – in a federal correctional institute, where he may dream of his seized penthouse, homes and yachts – rather than any press expose.

For years, he went undetected by business journalists, who knew – or should have known – what he was up to. There are even questions about the speed with which he was sentenced, preventing him from being tried – a process which, through diligent cross-examination, would have brought us more information on the details of his dirty deals.

Do not believe all you read

Even The New York Times interview is being disputed, reports the New York Post: “The trustee representing thousands of Bernard Madoff’s victims disputed a report that he personally grilled the Ponzi monster in prison.”

“There has been no direct communication between them,” said David Sheehan, the chief counsel for the court-appointed trustee, Irving Picard, after The New York Times reported that Picard and Madoff had met over the summer.

“The Times later changed a quote from Madoff and altered some text online that had implied Picard personally visited Bernie in the Butner, NC, lockup where he is serving a 150-year sentence. Picard did not dispute that his legal team met with Madoff.”

Madoff is also still not coming clean about the web of alliances he had internationally, as well as in New York. We live in a global economy after all. We now know of Swiss and Austrian connections – but what about Israel, where this ingratiating handler was well known for his connections with Jewish philanthropists and institutions? So far, that story has yet to be told.

At the same time, the people investigating Madoff are making a small fortune. According to the Financial Times: “The army of lawyers and consultants helping to recover funds from Bernard Madoff’s $19.6bn fraud stand to earn more than $1.3bn in fees, according to new figures that detail the cost of liquidating the huge Ponzi scheme.”

The comments of readers to The Times appear to be more insightful than the paper’s own reports. Here is one from Texas: “I actually, sort of, feel sorry for this man. He was just doing what many investment firms were doing at the same time. He has been imprisoned as a scapegoat – yet many people since then – and to this day – are doing the same thing. Where are the indictments against the thousands of other people who did the same thing – and knowingly led this country into financial disaster?”

Read more>>>

Related story:
The rich get richer and the disunited kingdom is all the poorer for it
As employment rises, wages stay low

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The scary actual U.S. government debt

NEIL REYNOLDS

The Globe and Mail

Boston University economist Laurence Kotlikoff says U.S. government debt is not $13.5-trillion (U.S.), which is 60 per cent of current gross domestic product, as global investors and American taxpayers think, but rather 14-fold higher: $200-trillion – 840 per cent of current GDP. “Let’s get real,” Prof. Kotlikoff says. “The U.S. is bankrupt.”

Writing in the September issue of Finance and Development, a journal of the International Monetary Fund, Prof. Kotlikoff says the IMF itself has quietly confirmed that the U.S. is in terrible fiscal trouble – far worse than the Washington-based lender of last resort has previously acknowledged. “The U.S. fiscal gap is huge,” the IMF asserted in a June report. “Closing the fiscal gap requires a permanent annual fiscal adjustment equal to about 14 per cent of U.S. GDP.”

This sum is equal to all current U.S. federal taxes combined. The consequences of the IMF’s fiscal fix, a doubling of federal taxes in perpetuity, would be appalling – and possibly worse than appalling.

Prof. Kotlikoff says: “The IMF is saying that, to close this fiscal gap [by taxation], would require an immediate and permanent doubling of our personal income taxes, our corporate taxes and all other federal taxes.

“America’s fiscal gap is enormous – so massive that closing it appears impossible without immediate and radical reforms to its health care, tax and Social Security systems – as well as military and other discretionary spending cuts.”

Read more>>>

Related story:
For Whom the Bell Tolls: Will the U.S. meet the challenges of the 21st Century
Is There A Government Bond Bubble?

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U.S. spending on mortgage interest payments and charges decreased from 2007 to 2009

Evidence of higher than normal default rate on mortgages, falling house prices, lower rates of homeownership, and declining mortgage interest rates over the period.

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Consumer units within the highest income quintile group increased expenditures for rented dwellings.

Evidence of higher than normal default rate on mortgages, falling house prices, lower rates of homeownership, and declining mortgage interest rates over the period.

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U.S. ‘middle educated workers’ unemployment picture

Mandel on Innovation and Growth

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor and Statistics, the unemployment rate for ’middle-educated’ workers – people with some college or an associate degree – hit a new high of 9.1% in September. That’s up from 8.2% in June, and the highest unemployment rate since this data started being collected 20 years ago.

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Germany powering out of recession

smh

Germany will register record economic growth this year, the country’s top economic institutes says, driving unemployment to low levels in 2011 and cutting the deficit to within EU limits.

In their twice-yearly report, the institutes more than doubled their previous forecast for Europe’s top economy, projecting output growth of 3.5 per cent in 2010, dropping to 2.0 per cent next year.

This would be the strongest growth since European Union records began, according to EU statistics.

The positive economic performance is expected to cut unemployment numbers to below the psychologically significant three-million mark next year for the first time since 1992, the institutes added.

“The German economy is in an upswing. It is on good track to make up for the fall in production caused by the crisis,” the report said.

Speaking in Japan, where he is on an Asian tour, Economy Minister Rainer Bruederle welcomed the latest projections, saying they “confirmed the opinion of the government that we are enjoying a powerful upswing.”

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Pilot for O.E.C.S. Labor Force in progress

S. Coward

Caribbean Press Releases

The Organization of Eastern Caribbean States (O.E.C.S.) Secretariat in collaboration with the International Labor Organization’s (I.L.O.’s) sub-regional Office for the Caribbean, will from 14th – 15th October, 2010 undertake a technical mission to Grenada to implement the ongoing pilot O.E.C.S. Labor Force Survey.

The main objective of the technical mission will be to assist with the speedy completion of data processing and tabulation processes, so that the report on the pilot project can be completed and submitted to O.E.C.S. Directors of Statistics for their guidance in preparing for replication of the survey in other O.E.C.S. Member States. The joint O.E.C.S.-I.L.O. mission will ensure that the skills and insights in data processing gained by statisticians from Grenada and other O.E.C.S. Member States during the preparatory training phase of the project are appropriately applied and adapted to the practical work being done in Grenada. The mission team will also assist with the completion of consistency checks and troubleshoot any other issues that Grenada may encounter in the processing and tabulation of the survey.

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Georgia signed border treaty with Turkey to opens up China-Europe transit route

Balkans

Road Map of Georgia / Photo: Voland. Turkey is Georgia's biggest trade partner.

Georgia signed a simplified border management agreement with Turkey on October 8 aimed at increasing its attractiveness as a transit corridor for goods moving between China and Europe and increasing flows of tourists.

The new arrangement means there will be only one set of customs checks and one set of bilingual documents required at border crossings between the two countries. Until now, two sets of checks and two sets of documents have been required, making the process lengthy and laborious. “Everything is slashed by half, there are no more double checks. We estimate it will cut the time spent at checkpoints by 40%. That means that in a 24-hour period at a customs checkpoint there will be an extra six or seven hours of slots,” said Kakha Baindurashvili, Georgia’s finance minister, who signed the document in Istanbul with Turkish state minister Hayati Yazici.

He added that the agreement shows real confidence and trust between the two countries, and mimics the system that is in operation on the border between France and Switzerland. “The idea was to strengthen the transport corridor and to try to eliminate whatever barriers were still between us,” he said.

Turkey is Georgia’s biggest trade partner. It imported goods worth $151m from Georgia and exported goods worth $527m to Georgia during the period from January to August this year, according to the latest figures from Georgia’s national statistics office.

Read more>>>

Related story:
The New Silk Road
Turkey reaping gains from geopolitical shift

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